---
title: Settlement Risk
description: Learn about settlement risk in financial markets and its impact on parties involved in contracts. Understand the different types of settlement and the potential risks associated with them.
image: https://varri.com/hubfs/Imported_Blog_Media/settlement-risk-concept.jpeg
---

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 2 min read

# Settlement Risk

[![Picture of Johnny Kollin](https://app.hubspot.com/settings/avatar/66c1ed15fd0cc9c63bedaf0c7d2a6dc9) Johnny Kollin](https://varri.com/insights/author/johnny-kollin) :  5 September 2022, 20:18:12 GST

[Definitions](https://varri.com/insights/tag/definitions) [Credit Risk](https://varri.com/insights/tag/credit-risk)

![Settlement Risk](https://varri.com/hubfs/Imported_Blog_Media/settlement-risk-concept.jpeg)

What is Settlement Risk?

Settlement risk is the possibility that a counterparty will fail to deliver on the terms of a contract at the agreed-upon time. It is a form of [counterparty credit risk](https://varri.com/insights/counterparty-credit-risk) that arises due to timing differences in the exchange of cash flow between two parties, often related to a foreign exchange forward contract with an actual exchange of two different currencies or currency cash flows (as opposed to net settlement in which only the difference in mark-to-market is paid by the party that is out of the money).

## DIFFERENT TYPES OF SETTLEMENT GIVE RISE TO DIFFERENT RISKS

### GROSS SETTLEMENT

If a transaction settles on a gross basis, each party must deliver the underlying asset and the gross amount of funds to the other party.

For example, let’s assume Party A agreed with Party B to sell Security XYZ a year from now for $100. At maturity, Party B will pay Party A $100, and Party A will deliver Security XYZ to Party B. If the market value of Security XYZ increases to $120 over the next year, Party B will still only pay $100 for that security. If Party A owns the security, it could have sold it outright for $120 but is now obliged to sell it at a below-market price of $100. If Party A does not own the asset, it will have to source it in the market for $120 and then sell it to Party A for $100. Regardless, Party A will effectively lose $20 on the transaction, while Party B will gain $20 (i.e., $120--$100).

In the example above, Party B would be required to pay $100 to Party A. Party A would need to deliver the security worth $120 to Party B. The “net” transaction value, i.e., the gain or loss depending on the party, is only $20. However, the settlement risk amounts to the total gross amount of $120. If Party B pays $100 but doesn’t receive the security, it risks losing $100 of the delivered cash plus the $20 gain it is owed. If Party A delivers the security worth $120 but doesn’t receive the cash, it has lost an asset worth $120.

The [counterparty credit risk involved in financial markets can be significant](https://www.ecb.europa.eu/pub/pdf/fsr/art/ecb.fsrart200512_06.en.pdf). Taking the same example as above, Party B – counting on the Security XYZ to be delivered at the maturity or settlement date – may have agreed with a third-party, Party C, to sell the same Security XYZ for $105. However, suppose Party A fails to deliver it to Party B at maturity. In that case, Party B may fail to deliver it to Party C. So the initial failure by Party A towards Party B will result in a failure by Party B towards C, and so on.

### DELIVERY VS. PAYMENT SETTLEMENT

Most securities transactions today are settled “delivery versus payment” (DVP). DVP means that the assets to be exchanged are only delivered if the funds are paid.

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[![Counterparty Credit Risk](https://varri.com/hubfs/Imported_Blog_Media/purple-financial-charts-1920x1080px.png)](https://varri.com/insights/counterparty-credit-risk)

#### [Counterparty Credit Risk](https://varri.com/insights/counterparty-credit-risk)

[![Picture of Johnny Kollin](https://app.hubspot.com/settings/avatar/66c1ed15fd0cc9c63bedaf0c7d2a6dc9) Johnny Kollin](https://varri.com/insights/author/johnny-kollin) : 5 September 2022, 13:56:20 GST

Learn about counterparty credit risk in financial markets, including pre-settlement risk and settlement risk. Understand how these risks can affect...

[Definitions](https://varri.com/insights/tag/definitions) [Credit Risk](https://varri.com/insights/tag/credit-risk)

[Read More](https://varri.com/insights/counterparty-credit-risk)

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#### [Risk Advisory in the Renewable Energy Sector](https://varri.com/insights/risk-advisory-in-the-renewable-energy-sector)

[![Picture of Johnny Kollin](https://app.hubspot.com/settings/avatar/66c1ed15fd0cc9c63bedaf0c7d2a6dc9) Johnny Kollin](https://varri.com/insights/author/johnny-kollin) : 24 August 2022, 19:01:08 GST

Learn about the increasing commitment to net-zero emissions in the GCC countries and how renewable energy investment companies are managing risks in...

[Governance](https://varri.com/insights/tag/governance) [Climate Risk](https://varri.com/insights/tag/climate-risk) [ESG](https://varri.com/insights/tag/esg) [Solar Power](https://varri.com/insights/tag/solar-power) [Risk](https://varri.com/insights/tag/risk) [Renewable Energy](https://varri.com/insights/tag/renewable-energy) [Climate Change](https://varri.com/insights/tag/climate-change) [Net-Zero](https://varri.com/insights/tag/net-zero) [Credit Risk](https://varri.com/insights/tag/credit-risk) [Client Reviews](https://varri.com/insights/tag/client-reviews) [Green Finance](https://varri.com/insights/tag/green-finance)

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#### [Sharjah’s Credit Rating Downgraded to Ba1 by Moody’s](https://varri.com/insights/sharjah-credit-rating-downgrade)

[![Picture of Johnny Kollin](https://app.hubspot.com/settings/avatar/66c1ed15fd0cc9c63bedaf0c7d2a6dc9) Johnny Kollin](https://varri.com/insights/author/johnny-kollin) : 21 July 2022, 12:53:13 GST

Sharjah's credit rating has been downgraded by Moody's to non-investment grade due to fiscal deterioration. This could lead to higher borrowing costs...

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[Read More](https://varri.com/insights/sharjah-credit-rating-downgrade)

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